As most of you know, I have been keeping track of the Carolina Hurricanes scoring chances this year and I thought it would be a good idea to share some of the team's data now that we're a month into the season. First, I'll go over what scoring chances are and why they are important to refesh some people's memories. A scoring chance is a shot directed at the net from what is defined as "a dangerous scoring area." That area being shown in this diagram. The reason why bloggers like myself keep track of scoring chances is because they help us judge how well a player is performance by either creating or preventing offense. Many advanced stat bloggers use corsi for this, which is also a fine stat, but scoring chances are better for determining which players are creating and/or preventing more goals. Why? Because more goals tend to come from the scoring chance area than anywhere else. Corsi is great for judging which players are carrying the play but that doesn't always mean they are creating chances. For instance, let's say we have a player who is on ice for a lot of shots on net but most of them are coming from the perimeter. He would probably have a high corsi rating despite not creating any chances. On the flipside, we could have a defenseman who is on ice for a lot of shots against but most of them come outside the face off circle. He would probably have an unfavorable corsi rating but a high scoring chance rating.
Now that we got that out of the way, let's use this data to examine the Hurricanes first month of the season. I think the best way to describe the Canes first month is that things could be worse but they could be a lot better. They are a bottom ten team in 5-on-5 goal differential, own only 43.8% of the shots at even strength and only 46.1% of the scoring chances. That isn't going to win you a lot of games. I've mentioned this before but Carolina has only outshot their opponent at even strength four times this month and have yet to outshot or outchance anyone on the road. However, the Canes were able to come out of October with a 4-4-3 record and earned a couple extra points in some games due strong special teams (games at Buffalo and Boston). That's good for a .500 record in the NHL, but If we want Carolina to win more games in the next few months, they are going to need to do a much better job at creating chances.
We'll look at things more closely after the jump.